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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ion Cutelaba won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1390

Elo1498

Gadzhimurad AntigulovvsIon CutelabaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Saturday, July 28, 2018Calgary, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Ion Cutelaba won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:25

Style matchupGadzhimurad Antigulov: WrestlervsIon Cutelaba: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Gadzhimurad Antigulov wins(51.1%)

Actual result: Ion Cutelaba wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gadzhimurad Antigulov at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Gadzhimurad Antigulov threatens submissions; Ion Cutelaba has lost 36% of fights by sub.
Ion Cutelaba has 75pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ion Cutelaba (53.5%).
Ion Cutelaba has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

Red Corner

Ion Cutelaba

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1390

Elo

1498

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'1"

177.8 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 16

SUBvs Joachim Christensen · May 17

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 19

SUBvs Paul Craig · Jul 20

KOvs Maxim Grishin · Oct 20

latest

Ion Cutelaba

oldest →

vs Ivan Erslan · Sep 24

SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25

vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25

SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26

KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovMetricIon Cutelaba

2.08

Strikes / min

4.23

4.21

Strikes absorbed / min

3.28

40%

Strike defense

47%

5.08

TDs / 15 min

3.76

Takedown defense

75%

1.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.13Δ 3.08 — meaningful gap+0.95

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gadzhimurad AntigulovIon Cutelaba

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gadzhimurad Antigulov(6 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -107.5|Blue +107.5

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -2.1|Blue +2.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovTargetIon Cutelaba

By target zone

57% acc · 67%

Head

87% acc · 68%

100% acc · 25%

Body

87% acc · 33%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

50% acc · 5%

90% acc · 75%

Clinch

90% acc · 95%

50% acc · 25%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov rounds

even

Ion Cutelaba rounds

Round 1Ion Cutelaba edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns3

Control3:20

40Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 18

Sig Strikes

40 / 46

66%

Sig Str %

86%

16 / 22

Total Strikes

40 / 46

3 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

37%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:20

Ctrl Time

0:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ion Cutelaba	40 / 46	40 / 46	0 / 0	0
1	Gadzhimurad Antigulov	12 / 18	16 / 22	3 / 8	0

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6

Ion Cutelaba

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights20