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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Gabriel Bonfim won · U-DEC R3

Elo1565

Elo1484

Gabriel BonfimvsAnge LoosaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Saturday, July 13, 2024Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Gabriel Bonfim won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGabriel Bonfim: WrestlervsAnge Loosa: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Gabriel Bonfim wins(71.0%)

Actual result: Gabriel Bonfim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gabriel Bonfim at -410 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gabriel Bonfim enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Gabriel Bonfim has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Gabriel Bonfim

Red Corner

Ange Loosa

Blue Corner

-410

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+320

(24%)

1565

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gabriel BonfimW4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Nov 23

SUBvs Khaos Williams · Feb 25

vs Stephen Thompson · Jul 25

KOvs Randy Brown · Nov 25

DECvs Belal Muhammad · Jun 26

latest

Ange Loosa

oldest →

vs Mounir Lazzez · Apr 22

vs AJ Fletcher · Aug 22

vs Rhys McKee · Sep 23

KOvs Phil Rowe · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gabriel BonfimMetricAnge Loosa

4.61

Strikes / min

5.46

3.68

Strikes absorbed / min

6.59

63%

Strike defense

52%

3.60

TDs / 15 min

2.53

76%

Takedown defense

83%

1.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.93Δ 2.06 — meaningful gap-1.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gabriel BonfimAnge Loosa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gabriel Bonfim(8 fights)Ange Loosa(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +80.7|Blue -80.7

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gabriel BonfimTargetAnge Loosa

By target zone

35% acc · 63%

Head

30% acc · 71%

84% acc · 32%

Body

37% acc · 13%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

89% acc · 15%

By position

42% acc · 84%

Distance

31% acc · 87%

80% acc · 16%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

0% acc

Ground

71% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gabriel Bonfim rounds

even

Ange Loosa rounds

Round 1Ange Loosa edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:05

15Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:07Control

Round 2Gabriel Bonfim edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns1

Control0:05

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 3Gabriel Bonfim edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

101 / 225

Sig Strikes

52 / 153

44.7%

Sig Str %

35.7%

106 / 232

Total Strikes

60 / 166

1 / 1

TDs

4 / 13

100%

TD %

44.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

2:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ange Loosa	15 / 33	23 / 45	3 / 9
1	Gabriel Bonfim	23 / 50	27 / 55	0 / 0
2	Ange Loosa	21 / 73	21 / 74	1 / 1
2	Gabriel Bonfim	35 / 87	36 / 88	1 / 1
3	Ange Loosa	16 / 47	16 / 47	0 / 3
3	Gabriel Bonfim	43 / 88	43 / 89	0 / 0

Gabriel Bonfim

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights8

Ange Loosa

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5