← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Gabriel Benitez won · SUB R2

Elo1493

Elo1359

Gabriel BenitezvsSam SiciliaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · Saturday, September 17, 2016Hidalgo, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Gabriel Benitez won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:20

Model Prediction: Gabriel Benitez wins(64.0%)

Actual result: Gabriel Benitez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gabriel Benitez at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sam Sicilia is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Gabriel Benitez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Sam Sicilia has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Gabriel Benitez (53.5%).
Gabriel Benitez has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Gabriel Benitez

Red Corner

Sam Sicilia

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1493

Elo

1359

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gabriel BenitezL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Jul 21

KOvs David Onama · Feb 22

KOvs Charlie Ontiveros · Aug 22

SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 24

vs Maheshate · Apr 24

latest

Sam SiciliaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 14

KOvs Akira Corassani · Jan 15

vs Yaotzin Meza · Jul 15

KOvs Dooho Choi · Nov 15

vs Gavin Tucker · Feb 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gabriel BenitezMetricSam Sicilia

5.26

Strikes / min

2.46

4.49

Strikes absorbed / min

3.55

63%

Strike defense

59%

0.22

TDs / 15 min

1.45

55%

Takedown defense

70%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.77Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap-1.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gabriel BenitezSam Sicilia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gabriel Benitez(10 fights)Sam Sicilia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +133.7|Blue -133.7

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gabriel BenitezTargetSam Sicilia

By target zone

28% acc · 54%

Head

20% acc · 63%

44% acc · 10%

Body

67% acc · 21%

82% acc · 36%

Leg

100% acc · 16%

By position

34% acc · 79%

Distance

28% acc · 95%

67% acc · 5%

Clinch

20% acc · 5%

86% acc · 15%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gabriel Benitez rounds

even

Sam Sicilia rounds

Round 1Gabriel Benitez edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Gabriel Benitez edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:17

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 101

Sig Strikes

19 / 70

40%

Sig Str %

24%

39 / 101

Total Strikes

19 / 70

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:17

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sam Sicilia	17 / 60	17 / 60	0 / 0	0
1	Gabriel Benitez	28 / 76	28 / 76	0 / 0	0
2	Sam Sicilia	2 / 10	2 / 10	0 / 1	0
2	Gabriel Benitez	11 / 25	11 / 25	0 / 0	1

Gabriel Benitez

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights15

Sam Sicilia

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12