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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Omar Morales won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1453

Gabriel BenitezvsOmar MoralesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · Wednesday, May 13, 2020Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Omar Morales won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGabriel Benitez: Pressure fightervsOmar Morales: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Gabriel Benitez wins(65.1%)

Actual result: Omar Morales wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gabriel Benitez at +160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Omar Morales enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Gabriel Benitez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Gabriel Benitez

Red Corner

Omar Morales

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-185

(65%)

1493

Elo

1453

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gabriel BenitezL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Jul 21

KOvs David Onama · Feb 22

KOvs Charlie Ontiveros · Aug 22

SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 24

vs Maheshate · Apr 24

latest

Omar MoralesL3 streak

oldest →

vs Giga Chikadze · Oct 20

vs Shane Young · Mar 21

SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Sep 21

KOvs Uros Medic · May 22

vs Chris Duncan · Mar 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gabriel BenitezMetricOmar Morales

5.26

Strikes / min

3.42

4.49

Strikes absorbed / min

3.18

63%

Strike defense

58%

0.22

TDs / 15 min

0.46

55%

Takedown defense

63%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.77evenly matched on net striking+0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gabriel BenitezOmar Morales

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gabriel Benitez(10 fights)Omar Morales(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +40.2|Blue -40.2

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -48.2|Blue +48.2

Grappler Score

Red -49.3|Blue +49.3

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gabriel BenitezTargetOmar Morales

By target zone

13% acc · 34%

Head

20% acc · 57%

75% acc · 42%

Body

71% acc · 32%

67% acc · 24%

Leg

78% acc · 11%

By position

28% acc · 100%

Distance

29% acc · 97%

Clinch

40% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gabriel Benitez rounds

even

Omar Morales rounds

Round 1Gabriel Benitez edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Omar Morales edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Omar Morales edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 179

Sig Strikes

63 / 215

27.3%

Sig Str %

28.3%

50 / 179

Total Strikes

63 / 215

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Omar Morales	12 / 55	12 / 55	0 / 0
1	Gabriel Benitez	15 / 53	15 / 53	0 / 0
2	Omar Morales	20 / 60	20 / 60	0 / 0
2	Gabriel Benitez	13 / 53	13 / 53	0 / 1
3	Omar Morales	31 / 100	31 / 100	0 / 0
3	Gabriel Benitez	22 / 73	22 / 73	0 / 0

Gabriel Benitez

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights15

Omar Morales

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6