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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Maheshate won · S-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1486

Gabriel BenitezvsMaheshateUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · Saturday, April 27, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Maheshate won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGabriel Benitez: Pressure fightervsMaheshate: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Gabriel Benitez wins(58.8%)

Actual result: Maheshate wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gabriel Benitez at +190 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Maheshate enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Maheshate is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Gabriel Benitez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Gabriel Benitez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Gabriel Benitez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Gabriel Benitez

Red Corner

Maheshate

Blue Corner

+190

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-230

(70%)

1493

Elo

1486

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gabriel Benitez

oldest →

KOvs Justin Jaynes · Dec 20

KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Jul 21

KOvs David Onama · Feb 22

KOvs Charlie Ontiveros · Aug 22

SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 24

latest

MaheshateL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Steve Garcia · Jun 22

vs Rafa Garcia · Dec 22

KOvs Viacheslav Borshchev · May 23

vs Nikolas Motta · Nov 24

vs Gauge Young · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gabriel BenitezMetricMaheshate

5.26

Strikes / min

3.96

4.49

Strikes absorbed / min

5.96

63%

Strike defense

51%

0.22

TDs / 15 min

0.00

55%

Takedown defense

47%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.77Δ 2.77 — meaningful gap-2.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gabriel BenitezMaheshate

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gabriel Benitez(10 fights)Maheshate(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.3|Blue -7.3

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -238.0|Blue +238.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gabriel BenitezTargetMaheshate

By target zone

33% acc · 67%

Head

26% acc · 69%

62% acc · 11%

Body

55% acc · 27%

100% acc · 22%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

120

41% acc · 99%

Distance

31% acc · 96%

25% acc · 1%

Clinch

50% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gabriel Benitez rounds

even

Maheshate rounds

Round 1Gabriel Benitez edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Gabriel Benitez edged it

Sig. strikes51

Takedowns0

Control0:00

43Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 3Gabriel Benitez edged it

Sig. strikes47

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

121 / 295

Sig Strikes

97 / 312

40%

Sig Str %

31%

121 / 296

Total Strikes

97 / 312

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Maheshate	21 / 66	21 / 66	0 / 0
1	Gabriel Benitez	23 / 69	23 / 69	0 / 0
2	Maheshate	43 / 116	43 / 116	0 / 0
2	Gabriel Benitez	51 / 104	51 / 104	0 / 0
3	Maheshate	33 / 130	33 / 130	0 / 0
3	Gabriel Benitez	47 / 122	47 / 123	0 / 0

Gabriel Benitez

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights15

Maheshate

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6