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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Gabriel Benitez won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1493
Gabriel Benitez
Elo1375
Humberto Bandenay

Gabriel BenitezvsHumberto BandenayUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · Saturday, May 19, 2018Santiago, Chile

Official fight result

Gabriel Benitez won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:39

Style matchupGabriel Benitez: Pressure fightervsHumberto Bandenay: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Gabriel Benitez wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Gabriel Benitez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gabriel Benitez at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Humberto Bandenay is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Gabriel Benitez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Gabriel Benitez has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Gabriel Benitez
Red Corner
VS
Humberto Bandenay
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
1493
Elo
1375
38
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gabriel BenitezL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Jul 21
L
KOvs David Onama · Feb 22
W
KOvs Charlie Ontiveros · Aug 22
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 24
L
vs Maheshate · Apr 24
latest
Humberto BandenayL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Martin Bravo · Aug 17
L
vs Austin Arnett · Nov 18
L
DECvs Luiz Garagorri · Aug 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gabriel BenitezMetricHumberto Bandenay
5.26
Strikes / min
2.22
4.49
Strikes absorbed / min
4.79
63%
Strike defense
41%
0.22
TDs / 15 min
2.90
55%
Takedown defense
62%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77Δ 3.34 — meaningful gap-2.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1530 vs 1517Strikes44.8 vs 5.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.17 vs 0.00Form0.3 vs 1.0
Gabriel BenitezHumberto Bandenay

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Gabriel Benitez(10 fights)Humberto Bandenay(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +118.0|Blue -118.0
Recent Form
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gabriel BenitezTargetHumberto Bandenay

By target zone

7
41% acc · 78%
Head
1
100% acc · 50%
1
100% acc · 11%
Body
0
1
100% acc · 11%
Leg
1
100% acc · 50%

By position

2
33% acc · 22%
Distance
2
100% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
7
54% acc · 78%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Gabriel Benitez rounds
0
even
0
Humberto Bandenay rounds
Round 1Gabriel Benitez edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control0:24
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
9 / 19
Sig Strikes
2 / 2
47%
Sig Str %
100%
9 / 19
Total Strikes
2 / 2
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:24
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Humberto Bandenay2 / 22 / 20 / 01
1Gabriel Benitez9 / 199 / 191 / 10

Gabriel Benitez

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15

Humberto Bandenay

StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4