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Featherweight
3 Rounds
David Onama won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1493
Gabriel Benitez
Elo1513

Gabriel BenitezvsDavid OnamaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Saturday, February 19, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

David Onama won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:24

Style matchupGabriel Benitez: Pressure fightervsDavid Onama: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: David Onama wins(54.8%)

Actual result: David Onama wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

David Onama at -195 American odds

+$51 profit

$151 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Gabriel Benitez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Gabriel Benitez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Gabriel Benitez
Red Corner
VS
David Onama
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-195
(66%)
1493
Elo
1513
38
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gabriel BenitezL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Justin Jaynes · Dec 20
L
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Jul 21
W
KOvs Charlie Ontiveros · Aug 22
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 24
L
vs Maheshate · Apr 24
latest
David Onama
oldest →
W
KOvs Gabriel Santos · Jun 23
W
vs Jonathan Pearce · Apr 24
W
vs Roberto Romero · Nov 24
W
vs Giga Chikadze · Apr 25
L
KOvs Steve Garcia · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gabriel BenitezMetricDavid Onama
5.26
Strikes / min
5.07
4.49
Strikes absorbed / min
4.89
63%
Strike defense
51%
0.22
TDs / 15 min
1.05
55%
Takedown defense
52%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77evenly matched on net striking+0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1511 vs 1482Strikes5.3 vs 5.0Takedowns0.2 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.90 vs 0.50Form-0.4 vs -1.0
Gabriel BenitezDavid Onama

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Gabriel Benitez(10 fights)David Onama(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -19.5|Blue +19.5
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gabriel BenitezTargetDavid Onama

By target zone

19
28% acc · 41%
Head
30
35% acc · 83%
17
94% acc · 37%
Body
2
50% acc · 6%
10
100% acc · 22%
Leg
4
100% acc · 11%

By position

45
47% acc · 98%
Distance
35
38% acc · 97%
1
100% acc · 2%
Clinch
1
50% acc · 3%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Gabriel Benitez rounds
1
even
0
David Onama rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes46
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
46 / 96
Sig Strikes
36 / 94
47%
Sig Str %
38%
46 / 96
Total Strikes
36 / 94
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 2
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:10

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1David Onama36 / 9436 / 940 / 20
1Gabriel Benitez46 / 9646 / 960 / 00

Gabriel Benitez

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15

David Onama

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9