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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Billy Quarantillo won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1493

Elo1493

Billy Quarantillo editorial illustration

Gabriel BenitezvsBilly QuarantilloUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · Saturday, July 17, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Billy Quarantillo won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:40

Style matchupGabriel Benitez: Pressure fightervsBilly Quarantillo: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Billy Quarantillo wins(72.8%)

Actual result: Billy Quarantillo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Billy Quarantillo at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Billy Quarantillo is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Gabriel Benitez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Gabriel Benitez has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Gabriel Benitez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Gabriel Benitez

Red Corner

Billy Quarantillo

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1493

Elo

1493

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gabriel BenitezL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Justin Jaynes · Dec 20

KOvs David Onama · Feb 22

KOvs Charlie Ontiveros · Aug 22

SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 24

vs Maheshate · Apr 24

latest

Billy QuarantilloL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Dec 22

KOvs Edson Barboza · Apr 23

vs Damon Jackson · Aug 23

SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Mar 24

KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gabriel BenitezMetricBilly Quarantillo

5.26

Strikes / min

7.44

4.49

Strikes absorbed / min

5.83

63%

Strike defense

42%

0.22

TDs / 15 min

1.47

55%

Takedown defense

61%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.77evenly matched on net striking+1.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gabriel BenitezBilly Quarantillo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gabriel Benitez(10 fights)Billy Quarantillo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gabriel BenitezTargetBilly Quarantillo

By target zone

43% acc · 67%

Head

58% acc · 73%

87% acc · 23%

Body

87% acc · 20%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

49% acc · 77%

Distance

57% acc · 61%

67% acc · 11%

Clinch

92% acc · 11%

58% acc · 12%

Ground

76% acc · 28%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gabriel Benitez rounds

even

Billy Quarantillo rounds

Round 1Billy Quarantillo edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:15

Knockdowns0

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:30Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Billy Quarantillo edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:11

53Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:58Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:24

Knockdowns1

22Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:12Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 110

Sig Strikes

100 / 156

51%

Sig Str %

62.7%

67 / 122

Total Strikes

179 / 259

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 7

—

TD %

38.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:50

Ctrl Time

8:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Billy Quarantillo	25 / 38	60 / 86	0 / 2	0
1	Gabriel Benitez	12 / 26	17 / 33	0 / 0	1
2	Billy Quarantillo	53 / 79	72 / 104	2 / 3	1
2	Gabriel Benitez	23 / 45	23 / 45	0 / 0	0
3	Billy Quarantillo	22 / 39	47 / 69	1 / 2	0
3	Gabriel Benitez	22 / 39	27 / 44	0 / 0	0

Gabriel Benitez

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights15

Billy Quarantillo

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights11