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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Andre Fili won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1493
Gabriel Benitez
Elo1479
Andre Fili

Gabriel BenitezvsAndre FiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · Saturday, November 21, 2015Monterrey, Nuevo Leon, Mexico

Official fight result

Andre Fili won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:13

Style matchupGabriel Benitez: Pressure fightervsAndre Fili: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Gabriel Benitez wins(76.9%)

Actual result: Andre Fili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gabriel Benitez at +190 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Gabriel Benitez has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Andre Fili has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Gabriel Benitez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Gabriel Benitez
Red Corner
VS
Andre Fili
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
1493
Elo
1479
38
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gabriel BenitezL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Jul 21
L
KOvs David Onama · Feb 22
W
KOvs Charlie Ontiveros · Aug 22
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 24
L
vs Maheshate · Apr 24
latest
Andre FiliL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25
W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25
L
vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26
L
KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gabriel BenitezMetricAndre Fili
5.26
Strikes / min
3.88
4.49
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
63%
Strike defense
50%
0.22
TDs / 15 min
2.32
55%
Takedown defense
71%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1531 vs 1499Strikes41.5 vs 35.5Takedowns0.0 vs 2.3Sub Atts3.00 vs 0.25Form1.0 vs -0.2
Gabriel BenitezAndre Fili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Gabriel Benitez(10 fights)Andre Fili(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +13.8|Blue -13.8
Recent Form
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gabriel BenitezTargetAndre Fili

By target zone

3
19% acc · 27%
Head
10
29% acc · 63%
2
100% acc · 18%
Body
4
100% acc · 25%
6
75% acc · 55%
Leg
2
50% acc · 13%

By position

11
44% acc · 100%
Distance
15
37% acc · 94%
0
0% acc
Clinch
1
100% acc · 6%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Gabriel Benitez rounds
0
even
1
Andre Fili rounds
Round 1Andre Fili edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:07Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
11 / 26
Sig Strikes
16 / 42
42%
Sig Str %
38%
11 / 26
Total Strikes
16 / 42
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 1
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Andre Fili16 / 4216 / 421 / 10
1Gabriel Benitez11 / 2611 / 260 / 00

Gabriel Benitez

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights26