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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Gabe Green won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1505

Elo1491

Gabe GreenvsYohan LainesseUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · Saturday, April 30, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Gabe Green won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:02

Model Prediction: Gabe Green wins(73.8%)

Actual result: Gabe Green wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gabe Green at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yohan Lainesse has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Yohan Lainesse has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Gabe Green (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Gabe Green

Red Corner

Yohan Lainesse

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1505

Elo

1491

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gabe Green

oldest →

vs Daniel Rodriguez · May 20

vs Philip Rowe · Feb 21

vs Ian Garry · Jul 22

KOvs Bryan Battle · May 23

SUBvs Matheus Camilo · May 25

latest

Yohan LainesseL2 streak

oldest →

vs Darian Weeks · Sep 22

SUBvs Mike Malott · Feb 23

SUBvs Sam Patterson · Jan 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gabe GreenMetricYohan Lainesse

5.60

Strikes / min

2.22

6.19

Strikes absorbed / min

3.38

47%

Strike defense

58%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

0.94

50%

Takedown defense

72%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.59evenly matched on net striking-1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gabe GreenYohan Lainesse

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gabe Green(6 fights)Yohan Lainesse(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +14.4|Blue -14.4

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gabe GreenTargetYohan Lainesse

By target zone

27% acc · 54%

Head

38% acc · 37%

81% acc · 27%

Body

69% acc · 27%

100% acc · 19%

Leg

63% acc · 37%

By position

34% acc · 75%

Distance

47% acc · 85%

80% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 7%

62% acc · 17%

Ground

100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gabe Green rounds

even

Yohan Lainesse rounds

Round 1Yohan Lainesse edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:03

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:32Control

Round 2Gabe Green edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:38

Knockdowns0

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:05Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 123

Sig Strikes

41 / 80

37.5%

Sig Str %

51.5%

54 / 129

Total Strikes

42 / 81

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 4

—

TD %

66.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:41

Ctrl Time

1:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yohan Lainesse	25 / 50	25 / 50	1 / 1	1
1	Gabe Green	12 / 57	16 / 61	0 / 0	0
2	Yohan Lainesse	16 / 30	17 / 31	1 / 3	0
2	Gabe Green	36 / 66	38 / 68	0 / 0	0

Gabe Green

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6

Yohan Lainesse

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4