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Featherweight

5 Rounds

Chan Sung Jung won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1441

Elo1474

Frankie EdgarvsChan Sung JungUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, December 21, 2019Busan, South Korea

Official fight result

Chan Sung Jung won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:18

Style matchupFrankie Edgar: WrestlervsChan Sung Jung: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Frankie Edgar wins(61.9%)

Actual result: Chan Sung Jung wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Frankie Edgar at +129 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Chan Sung Jung is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Frankie Edgar has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Frankie Edgar has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Chan Sung Jung has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Frankie Edgar

Red Corner

Chan Sung Jung

Blue Corner

+129

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-151

(60%)

1441

Elo

1474

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Frankie EdgarL3 streak

oldest →

vs Max Holloway · Jul 19

vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 20

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Feb 21

KOvs Marlon Vera · Nov 21

KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Nov 22

latest

Chan Sung JungL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Renato Moicano · Jun 19

vs Brian Ortega · Oct 20

vs Dan Ige · Jun 21

KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Apr 22

KOvs Max Holloway · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Frankie EdgarMetricChan Sung Jung

3.77

Strikes / min

3.93

2.82

Strikes absorbed / min

4.52

65%

Strike defense

52%

2.29

TDs / 15 min

0.70

65%

Takedown defense

72%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.95Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Frankie EdgarChan Sung Jung

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Frankie Edgar(10 fights)Chan Sung Jung(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.1|Blue +33.1

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +2.1|Blue -2.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Frankie EdgarTargetChan Sung Jung

By target zone

55% acc · 67%

Head

77% acc · 100%

100% acc · 11%

Body

100% acc · 22%

Leg

By position

64% acc · 100%

Distance

44% acc · 17%

Clinch

Ground

90% acc · 83%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Frankie Edgar rounds

even

Chan Sung Jung rounds

Round 1Chan Sung Jung edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control2:12

Knockdowns0

46Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 14

Sig Strikes

46 / 60

64%

Sig Str %

76%

9 / 14

Total Strikes

79 / 97

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:12

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chan Sung Jung	46 / 60	79 / 97	0 / 0	0
1	Frankie Edgar	9 / 14	9 / 14	0 / 2	0

Frankie Edgar

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights22

Chan Sung Jung

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights12