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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Daniel Cormier won · U-DEC R3

Elo1357

Elo1388

Frank MirvsDaniel CormierUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · Saturday, April 20, 2013San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Daniel Cormier won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupFrank Mir: WrestlervsDaniel Cormier: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Frank Mir wins(78.9%)

Actual result: Daniel Cormier wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Frank Mir at +335 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Daniel Cormier has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Daniel Cormier has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Frank Mir (53.5%).
Frank Mir has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Frank Mir

Red Corner

Daniel Cormier

Blue Corner

+335

(23%)

Vegas Odds

-375

(79%)

1357

Elo

1388

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'11"

200.66 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Frank MirL2 streak

oldest →

vs Alistair Overeem · Feb 14

KOvs Antonio Silva · Feb 15

KOvs Todd Duffee · Jul 15

vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 15

KOvs Mark Hunt · Mar 16

latest

Daniel CormierL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18

SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Nov 18

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19

vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Frank MirMetricDaniel Cormier

2.18

Strikes / min

4.25

3.84

Strikes absorbed / min

2.92

38%

Strike defense

54%

2.02

TDs / 15 min

1.83

54%

Takedown defense

80%

2.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.66Δ 2.99 — meaningful gap+1.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Frank MirDaniel Cormier

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Frank Mir(10 fights)Daniel Cormier(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -31.2|Blue +31.2

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -49.1|Blue +49.1

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Frank MirTargetDaniel Cormier

By target zone

13% acc · 21%

Head

47% acc · 46%

82% acc · 58%

Body

77% acc · 39%

100% acc · 21%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

30% acc · 54%

Distance

31% acc · 17%

67% acc · 42%

Clinch

77% acc · 83%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Frank Mir rounds

even

Daniel Cormier rounds

Round 1Daniel Cormier edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:02

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:27Control

Round 2Daniel Cormier edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:31Control

Round 3Daniel Cormier edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:16

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:36Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 60

Sig Strikes

59 / 96

39.7%

Sig Str %

61%

53 / 89

Total Strikes

102 / 139

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:18

Ctrl Time

7:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Daniel Cormier	24 / 39	35 / 50	0 / 0
1	Frank Mir	7 / 22	20 / 35	0 / 0
2	Daniel Cormier	17 / 27	26 / 36	0 / 0
2	Frank Mir	6 / 19	15 / 28	0 / 0
3	Daniel Cormier	18 / 30	41 / 53	0 / 1
3	Frank Mir	11 / 19	18 / 26	0 / 0

Frank Mir

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights12

Daniel Cormier

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14