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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Manuel Torres won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1425

Elo1514

Frank CamachovsManuel TorresUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · Saturday, May 14, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Manuel Torres won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:27

Style matchupFrank Camacho: Pressure fightervsManuel Torres: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Manuel Torres wins(82.9%)

Actual result: Manuel Torres wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Manuel Torres at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Frank Camacho is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Manuel Torres has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Manuel Torres is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Frank Camacho has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Manuel Torres has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Manuel Torres (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Frank Camacho

Red Corner

Manuel Torres

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1425

Elo

1514

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'10"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Frank CamachoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Drew Dober · Jan 18

KOvs Geoff Neal · Sep 18

KOvs Nick Hein · Jun 19

SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Oct 19

KOvs Justin Jaynes · Jun 20

latest

Manuel Torres

oldest →

SUBvs Chris Duncan · Feb 24

KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Sep 24

KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 25

KOvs Grant Dawson · Dec 25

KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Frank CamachoMetricManuel Torres

6.56

Strikes / min

7.29

7.44

Strikes absorbed / min

4.08

51%

Strike defense

54%

1.11

TDs / 15 min

1.72

73%

Takedown defense

90%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.88Δ 4.09 — meaningful gap+3.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Frank CamachoManuel Torres

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Frank Camacho(7 fights)Manuel Torres(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -89.0|Blue +89.0

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -46.0|Blue +46.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Frank CamachoTargetManuel Torres

By target zone

42% acc · 63%

Head

48% acc · 79%

100% acc · 13%

Body

86% acc · 18%

80% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

48% acc · 88%

Distance

50% acc · 88%

100% acc · 13%

Clinch

100% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Frank Camacho rounds

even

Manuel Torres rounds

Round 1Manuel Torres edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:14

Knockdowns0

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 31

Sig Strikes

34 / 64

51%

Sig Str %

53%

24 / 40

Total Strikes

34 / 64

0 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:14

Ctrl Time

0:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Manuel Torres	34 / 64	34 / 64	0 / 1	0
1	Frank Camacho	16 / 31	24 / 40	0 / 5	0

Frank Camacho

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7

Manuel Torres

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7