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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Justin Jaynes won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1425
Elo1403

Frank CamachovsJustin JaynesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Saturday, June 20, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Justin Jaynes won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:41

Model Prediction: Frank Camacho wins(66.6%)

Actual result: Justin Jaynes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Frank Camacho at -340 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Justin Jaynes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Justin Jaynes is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Frank Camacho has lost 60% of fights by KO.
  • Justin Jaynes has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Frank Camacho has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Frank Camacho has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Frank Camacho
Red Corner
VS
Justin Jaynes
Blue Corner
-340
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
1425
Elo
1403
37
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
185.42 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Frank CamachoL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Drew Dober · Jan 18
L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Sep 18
W
KOvs Nick Hein · Jun 19
L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Oct 19
L
KOvs Manuel Torres · May 22
latest
Justin JaynesL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Gavin Tucker · Aug 20
L
KOvs Gabriel Benitez · Dec 20
L
vs Charles Rosa · Jun 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Frank CamachoMetricJustin Jaynes
6.56
Strikes / min
3.34
7.44
Strikes absorbed / min
5.33
51%
Strike defense
62%
1.11
TDs / 15 min
0.75
73%
Takedown defense
20%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.88Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-1.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1488 vs 1500Strikes6.7 vs 0.0Takedowns1.2 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.3 vs 0.0
Frank CamachoJustin Jaynes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Frank Camacho(7 fights)Justin Jaynes(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +22.1|Blue -22.1
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -45.3|Blue +45.3
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Frank CamachoTargetJustin Jaynes

By target zone

4
29% acc · 100%
Head
14
50% acc · 88%
0
0% acc
Body
2
100% acc · 13%
0
Leg
0

By position

4
27% acc · 100%
Distance
10
45% acc · 63%
0
Clinch
4
80% acc · 25%
0
Ground
2
67% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Frank Camacho rounds
0
even
1
Justin Jaynes rounds
Round 1Justin Jaynes edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
4 / 15
Sig Strikes
16 / 30
26%
Sig Str %
53%
4 / 15
Total Strikes
16 / 30
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Justin Jaynes16 / 3016 / 300 / 00
1Frank Camacho4 / 154 / 150 / 00

Frank Camacho

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7

Justin Jaynes

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4