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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Beneil Dariush won · SUB R1
Elo1425
Elo1480
Beneil Dariush

Frank CamachovsBeneil DariushUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · Saturday, October 26, 2019Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Beneil Dariush won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:02

Style matchupFrank Camacho: Pressure fightervsBeneil Dariush: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Beneil Dariush wins(74.9%)

Actual result: Beneil Dariush wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Beneil Dariush at -185 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Frank Camacho is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Beneil Dariush has lost 88% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Frank Camacho
Red Corner
VS
Beneil Dariush
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
1425
Elo
1480
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Frank CamachoL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Drew Dober · Jan 18
L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Sep 18
W
KOvs Nick Hein · Jun 19
L
KOvs Justin Jaynes · Jun 20
L
KOvs Manuel Torres · May 22
latest
Beneil DariushL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23
L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23
W
vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25
L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25
L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Frank CamachoMetricBeneil Dariush
6.56
Strikes / min
3.74
7.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
51%
Strike defense
57%
1.11
TDs / 15 min
2.21
73%
Takedown defense
82%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.88Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1502 vs 1601Takedowns1.2 vs 1.8Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.90Form0.2 vs 0.6
Frank CamachoBeneil Dariush

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Frank Camacho(7 fights)Beneil Dariush(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -55.7|Blue +55.7
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +4.3|Blue -4.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Frank CamachoTargetBeneil Dariush

By target zone

1
14% acc · 33%
Head
8
62% acc · 62%
2
100% acc · 67%
Body
3
100% acc · 23%
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 15%

By position

2
25% acc · 67%
Distance
11
69% acc · 85%
1
100% acc · 33%
Clinch
2
100% acc · 15%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Frank Camacho rounds
0
even
1
Beneil Dariush rounds
Round 1Beneil Dariush edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 9
Sig Strikes
13 / 18
33%
Sig Str %
72%
3 / 9
Total Strikes
14 / 19
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 2
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:45

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Beneil Dariush13 / 1814 / 192 / 21
1Frank Camacho3 / 93 / 90 / 00

Frank Camacho

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights24