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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Piotr Hallmann won · SUB R2

Elo1496

Elo1356

Francisco TrinaldovsPiotr HallmannUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · Wednesday, September 4, 2013Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil

Official fight result

Piotr Hallmann won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:50

Style matchupFrancisco Trinaldo: Well-roundedvsPiotr Hallmann: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Francisco Trinaldo wins(73.8%)

Actual result: Piotr Hallmann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Francisco Trinaldo at -310 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Piotr Hallmann enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Francisco Trinaldo

Red Corner

Piotr Hallmann

Blue Corner

-310

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+280

(26%)

1496

Elo

1356

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Francisco Trinaldo

oldest →

KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20

vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21

vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21

vs Danny Roberts · May 22

vs Randy Brown · Oct 22

latest

Piotr HallmannL3 streak

oldest →

vs Al Iaquinta · Oct 13

SUBvs Yves Edwards · Jun 14

vs Gleison Tibau · Sep 14

KOvs Magomed Mustafaev · Jun 15

KOvs Alex Oliveira · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Francisco TrinaldoMetricPiotr Hallmann

3.13

Strikes / min

3.98

2.67

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

60%

Strike defense

58%

0.98

TDs / 15 min

2.55

60%

Takedown defense

70%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.81

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Francisco TrinaldoPiotr Hallmann

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)Piotr Hallmann(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +140.8|Blue -140.8

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -48.5|Blue +48.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Francisco TrinaldoTargetPiotr Hallmann

By target zone

41% acc · 50%

Head

44% acc · 76%

62% acc · 36%

Body

63% acc · 12%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

71% acc · 12%

By position

51% acc · 100%

Distance

34% acc · 52%

Clinch

100% acc · 21%

Ground

85% acc · 26%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Francisco Trinaldo rounds

even

Piotr Hallmann rounds

Round 1Francisco Trinaldo edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:50

Knockdowns1

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Piotr Hallmann edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:53

21Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:22Control

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 43

Sig Strikes

42 / 87

42.5%

Sig Str %

57%

24 / 46

Total Strikes

62 / 112

1 / 4

TDs

2 / 2

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:43

Ctrl Time

2:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Piotr Hallmann	21 / 61	21 / 61	0 / 0	0
1	Francisco Trinaldo	21 / 40	23 / 43	1 / 1	0
2	Piotr Hallmann	21 / 26	41 / 51	2 / 2	1
2	Francisco Trinaldo	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 3	0

Francisco Trinaldo

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights26

Piotr Hallmann

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6