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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Hans Stringer won · S-DEC R3

Elo1364

Elo1355

Francimar BarrosovsHans StringerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · Sunday, March 23, 2014Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil

Official fight result

Hans Stringer won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupFrancimar Barroso: WrestlervsHans Stringer: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Francimar Barroso wins(76.6%)

Actual result: Hans Stringer wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Francimar Barroso at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Francimar Barroso has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Francimar Barroso has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Francimar Barroso

Red Corner

Hans Stringer

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1364

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Francimar BarrosoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Elvis Mutapcic · Jan 16

SUBvs Nikita Krylov · May 16

vs Darren Stewart · Mar 17

vs Aleksandar Rakic · Sep 17

vs Gian Villante · Jan 18

latest

Hans StringerL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Fabio Maldonado · Oct 14

KOvs Ilir Latifi · Jul 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Francimar BarrosoMetricHans Stringer

2.77

Strikes / min

3.16

3.07

Strikes absorbed / min

2.84

59%

Strike defense

41%

2.22

TDs / 15 min

2.40

83%

Takedown defense

62%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.32

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Francimar BarrosoHans Stringer

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Francimar Barroso(8 fights)Hans Stringer(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.6|Blue -8.6

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Francimar BarrosoTargetHans Stringer

By target zone

31% acc · 31%

Head

41% acc · 48%

72% acc · 36%

Body

71% acc · 11%

86% acc · 33%

Leg

95% acc · 41%

By position

48% acc · 58%

Distance

42% acc · 45%

69% acc · 25%

Clinch

94% acc · 36%

60% acc · 17%

Ground

67% acc · 18%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Francimar Barroso rounds

even

Hans Stringer rounds

Round 1Hans Stringer edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control0:40

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:25Control

Round 2Francimar Barroso edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control1:42

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:11Control

Round 3Hans Stringer edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control0:39

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 67

Sig Strikes

44 / 77

52%

Sig Str %

56.7%

76 / 114

Total Strikes

98 / 135

3 / 8

TDs

1 / 8

41.7%

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

3:01

Ctrl Time

5:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Hans Stringer	20 / 27	52 / 62	1 / 2
1	Francimar Barroso	9 / 17	19 / 28	1 / 2
2	Hans Stringer	9 / 25	18 / 34	0 / 4
2	Francimar Barroso	18 / 29	30 / 44	1 / 2
3	Hans Stringer	15 / 25	28 / 39	0 / 2
3	Francimar Barroso	9 / 21	27 / 42	1 / 4

Francimar Barroso

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8

Hans Stringer

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach—

Fights3