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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Forrest Griffin won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Forrest GriffinvsRich FranklinUFC Prediction Result

UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · Saturday, February 5, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Forrest Griffin won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupForrest Griffin: Elusive strikervsRich Franklin: Elusive striker

Two technical strikers — likely goes the distance with a close decision.

Model Prediction: Rich Franklin wins(56.6%)

Actual result: Forrest Griffin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rich Franklin at -128 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Rich Franklin (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Forrest Griffin

Red Corner

Rich Franklin

Blue Corner

+118

(46%)

Vegas Odds

-128

(56%)

1490

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'1"

195.58 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Forrest Griffin

oldest →

KOvs Mauricio Rua · Aug 11

vs Tito Ortiz · Jul 12

latest

Rich Franklin

oldest →

KOvs Chuck Liddell · Jun 10

vs Wanderlei Silva · Jun 12

KOvs Cung Le · Nov 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Forrest GriffinMetricRich Franklin

4.38

Strikes / min

4.10

2.81

Strikes absorbed / min

2.07

61%

Strike defense

62%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

1.31

57%

Takedown defense

63%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.57evenly matched on net striking+2.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Forrest GriffinRich Franklin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Forrest Griffin(3 fights)Rich Franklin(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +47.3|Blue -47.3

Grappler Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Forrest GriffinTargetRich Franklin

By target zone

23% acc · 56%

Head

24% acc · 64%

60% acc · 24%

Body

77% acc · 30%

67% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

28% acc · 66%

Distance

30% acc · 91%

60% acc · 6%

Clinch

75% acc · 9%

45% acc · 28%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Forrest Griffin rounds

even

Rich Franklin rounds

Round 1Forrest Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control4:31

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Forrest Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns2

Control1:01

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Forrest Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns2

Control0:18

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:21Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 155

Sig Strikes

33 / 104

33.3%

Sig Str %

53.7%

126 / 249

Total Strikes

40 / 112

5 / 7

TDs

1 / 2

83.3%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:50

Ctrl Time

0:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rich Franklin	2 / 2	8 / 9	0 / 0
1	Forrest Griffin	12 / 30	82 / 118	1 / 1
2	Rich Franklin	16 / 57	16 / 57	0 / 0
2	Forrest Griffin	19 / 61	24 / 66	2 / 2
3	Rich Franklin	15 / 45	16 / 46	1 / 2
3	Forrest Griffin	19 / 64	20 / 65	2 / 4

Forrest Griffin

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights3

Rich Franklin

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4