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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Damian Stasiak won · SUB R1
Elo1490
Elo1367
Damian Stasiak

Filip PejicvsDamian StasiakUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · Sunday, April 10, 2016Zagreb, Croatia

Official fight result

Damian Stasiak won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:16

Model Prediction: Damian Stasiak wins(65.8%)

Actual result: Damian Stasiak wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Damian Stasiak at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Damian Stasiak enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Damian Stasiak has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Damian Stasiak has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Filip Pejic
Red Corner
VS
Damian Stasiak
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
1490
Elo
1367
34
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'5"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Filip PejicNo prior UFC fights on record.
Damian StasiakL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Yaotzin Meza · Apr 15
W
SUBvs Davey Grant · Oct 16
L
vs Pedro Munhoz · May 17
L
KOvs Brian Kelleher · Oct 17
L
vs Liu Pingyuan · Jul 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Filip PejicMetricDamian Stasiak
0.00
Strikes / min
1.86
0.88
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
33%
Strike defense
52%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.64
0%
Takedown defense
43%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.88evenly matched on net striking-1.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1483Strikes vs 14.0Takedowns vs 1.0Sub Atts vs 1.00Form0.0 vs -1.0
Filip PejicDamian Stasiak

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Filip Pejic(1 fights)Damian Stasiak(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +123.9|Blue -123.9
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Filip PejicTargetDamian Stasiak

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
1
50% acc · 50%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 50%

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
1
100% acc · 50%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
1
50% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Filip Pejic rounds
0
even
1
Damian Stasiak rounds
Round 1Damian Stasiak edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:22
2Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
0 / 2
Sig Strikes
2 / 3
0%
Sig Str %
66%
2 / 4
Total Strikes
3 / 5
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 2
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:22
Ctrl Time
1:42

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Damian Stasiak2 / 33 / 52 / 21
1Filip Pejic0 / 22 / 40 / 00

Filip Pejic

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach
Fights1

Damian Stasiak

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6