Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francimar Barroso has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francimar Barroso has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nikita Krylov
oldest →W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 26 Francimar BarrosoL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Elvis Mutapcic · Jan 16W
vs Darren Stewart · Mar 17L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Sep 17L
vs Gian Villante · Jan 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nikita KrylovMetricFrancimar Barroso
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.77Δ 2.07 — meaningful gap-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nikita KrylovFrancimar Barroso
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nikita Krylov(10 fights)Francimar Barroso(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +121.8|Blue -121.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nikita KrylovTargetFrancimar Barroso
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Francimar Barroso rounds
Round 1Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control1:28
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:22Control
Round 2Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control2:34
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:18Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
