Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Tavares has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25 Elias Theodorou
oldest →W
vs Cezar Ferreira · Feb 17W
vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 17W
vs Trevor Smith · May 18L
vs Derek Brunson · May 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad TavaresMetricElias Theodorou
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.09Δ 1.71 — meaningful gap+1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brad TavaresElias Theodorou
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Tavares(10 fights)Elias Theodorou(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -10.8|Blue +10.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +162.0|Blue -162.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brad TavaresTargetElias Theodorou
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brad Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control0:40
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Elias Theodorou edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:25
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:50Control
Round 3Elias Theodorou edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control1:01
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:23Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
