Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Curtis Millender has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Curtis MillenderL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Thiago Alves · Feb 18L
SUBvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 19L
vs Belal Muhammad · Apr 19 Siyar Bahadurzada
oldest →W
SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Mar 16W
KOvs Rob Wilkinson · Sep 17W
KOvs Luan Chagas · Apr 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Sep 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Curtis MillenderMetricSiyar Bahadurzada
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.91Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Curtis MillenderSiyar Bahadurzada
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Curtis Millender(5 fights)Siyar Bahadurzada(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.5|Blue +4.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Curtis MillenderTargetSiyar Bahadurzada
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Siyar Bahadurzada rounds
Round 1Curtis Millender edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:02
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:42Control
Round 3Curtis Millender edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:15
19Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
