Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Terrion Ware enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tom Duquesnoy has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tom Duquesnoy
oldest →W
KOvs Patrick Williams · Apr 17L
vs Cody Stamann · Oct 17 Terrion WareL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Cody Stamann · Jul 17L
vs Sean O'Malley · Dec 17L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tom DuquesnoyMetricTerrion Ware
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.47evenly matched on net striking-2.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tom DuquesnoyTerrion Ware
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tom Duquesnoy(3 fights)Terrion Ware(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +123.6|Blue -123.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +55.0|Blue -55.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tom DuquesnoyTargetTerrion Ware
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Terrion Ware edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:01
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 2Terrion Ware edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:57Control
Round 3Terrion Ware edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:04
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
