Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mairon Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Mairon Santos is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Muhammad Naimov has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Mairon Santos has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad NaimovW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 23W
KOvs Erik Silva · Feb 24L
SUBvs Felipe Lima · Jun 24 Mairon SantosW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Francis Marshall · Mar 25W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad NaimovMetricMairon Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.84Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap+1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Muhammad NaimovMairon Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Naimov(7 fights)Mairon Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -44.2|Blue +44.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Muhammad NaimovTargetMairon Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Muhammad Naimov edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control1:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 2Mairon Santos edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control1:08
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 3Mairon Santos edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
