Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Pettis
oldest →L
KOvs Tony Ferguson · Oct 18W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19L
SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20 Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Tony Ferguson · Jun 19L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony PettisMetricDonald Cerrone
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Anthony PettisDonald Cerrone
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Pettis(10 fights)Donald Cerrone(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +64.4|Blue -64.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Anthony PettisTargetDonald Cerrone
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Donald Cerrone edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:00Control
Round 2Donald Cerrone edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
