Featherweight

3 Rounds

Hyder Amil won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1484

Elo1472

Fernie GarciavsHyder AmilUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Saturday, February 10, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Hyder Amil won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:12

Model Prediction: Hyder Amil wins(76.1%)

Actual result: Hyder Amil wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Fernie Garcia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Hyder Amil enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Hyder Amil has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Hyder Amil (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Fernie Garcia

Red Corner

Hyder Amil

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1484

Elo

1472

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'7"

Height

5'9"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Fernie GarciaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Journey Newson · May 22

vs Brady Hiestand · Nov 22

vs Rinya Nakamura · Aug 23

latest

Hyder AmilL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs JeongYeong Lee · Jul 24

vs William Gomis · Mar 25

KOvs Jose Delgado · Jun 25

vs Jamall Emmers · Nov 25

SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Fernie GarciaMetricHyder Amil

2.04

Strikes / min

5.81

3.79

Strikes absorbed / min

3.95

48%

Strike defense

51%

0.28

TDs / 15 min

0.56

50%

Takedown defense

65%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.75Δ 3.61 — meaningful gap+1.86

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Fernie GarciaHyder Amil

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Fernie Garcia(4 fights)Hyder Amil(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.1|Blue -12.1

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Fernie GarciaTargetHyder Amil

By target zone

29% acc · 85%

Head

50% acc · 76%

100% acc · 12%

Body

82% acc · 18%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

83% acc · 6%

By position

32% acc · 96%

Distance

53% acc · 73%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

33% acc · 4%

Ground

69% acc · 23%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Fernie Garcia rounds

even

Hyder Amil rounds

Round 1Hyder Amil edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:56

Knockdowns0

39Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:20Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Hyder Amil edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

40Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 79

Sig Strikes

79 / 144

35%

Sig Str %

55%

31 / 87

Total Strikes

109 / 194

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 3

—

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:56

Ctrl Time

2:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Hyder Amil	39 / 64	68 / 113	1 / 3	2
1	Fernie Garcia	11 / 26	16 / 34	0 / 0	0
2	Hyder Amil	40 / 80	41 / 81	0 / 0	0
2	Fernie Garcia	15 / 53	15 / 53	0 / 0	0

Fernie Garcia

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights4

Hyder Amil

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6