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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Song Yadong won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1366

Elo1518

Felipe ArantesvsSong YadongUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · Saturday, June 23, 2018Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Song Yadong won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:59

Model Prediction: Felipe Arantes wins(57.4%)

Actual result: Song Yadong wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Felipe Arantes at -105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Song Yadong has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Felipe Arantes has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Felipe Arantes

Red Corner

Song Yadong

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1366

Elo

1518

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Felipe ArantesL2 streak

oldest →

vs Andre Fili · Oct 14

SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Aug 15

SUBvs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 16

vs Erik Perez · Nov 16

vs Josh Emmett · Oct 17

latest

Song Yadong

oldest →

vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23

vs Petr Yan · Mar 24

vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25

vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Felipe ArantesMetricSong Yadong

2.37

Strikes / min

4.42

2.66

Strikes absorbed / min

3.94

64%

Strike defense

55%

0.93

TDs / 15 min

0.78

41%

Takedown defense

73%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Felipe ArantesSong Yadong

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Felipe Arantes(10 fights)Song Yadong(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -151.7|Blue +151.7

Recent Form

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Felipe ArantesTargetSong Yadong

By target zone

26% acc · 88%

Head

33% acc · 67%

0% acc

Body

54% acc · 18%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

86% acc · 15%

By position

26% acc · 100%

Distance

22% acc · 36%

Clinch

80% acc · 10%

Ground

66% acc · 54%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Felipe Arantes rounds

even

Song Yadong rounds

Round 1Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:16Control

Round 2Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:16

Knockdowns0

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:58Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 31

Sig Strikes

39 / 100

24%

Sig Str %

42%

9 / 32

Total Strikes

88 / 155

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:16

Ctrl Time

6:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Song Yadong	24 / 70	49 / 98	0 / 0	0
1	Felipe Arantes	6 / 21	7 / 22	0 / 0	0
2	Song Yadong	15 / 30	39 / 57	1 / 1	1
2	Felipe Arantes	2 / 10	2 / 10	0 / 2	0

Felipe Arantes

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11

Song Yadong

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights17