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Women's Featherweight

3 Rounds

Norma Dumont won · S-DEC

Elo1494

Elo1516

Felicia SpencervsNorma DumontUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · Saturday, May 22, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Norma Dumont won

S-DEC

Model Prediction: Norma Dumont wins(66.0%)

Actual result: Norma Dumont wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Norma Dumont at +157 American odds

+$157 profit

$257 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Norma Dumont has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Norma Dumont has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Felicia Spencer

Red Corner

Norma Dumont

Blue Corner

-178

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+157

(39%)

1494

Elo

1516

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Felicia Spencer

oldest →

SUBvs Megan Anderson · May 19

DECvs Cris Cyborg · Jul 19

KOvs Zarah Fairn · Feb 20

vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 20

KOvs Leah Letson · Nov 21

latest

Norma Dumont

oldest →

vs Chelsea Chandler · Jul 23

vs Germaine de Randamie · Apr 24

vs Irene Aldana · Sep 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 25

DECvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Felicia SpencerMetricNorma Dumont

3.21

Strikes / min

3.85

4.54

Strikes absorbed / min

2.33

45%

Strike defense

64%

1.18

TDs / 15 min

1.43

27%

Takedown defense

71%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.33Δ 2.85 — meaningful gap+1.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Felicia SpencerNorma Dumont

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Felicia Spencer(6 fights)Norma Dumont(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -22.0|Blue +22.0

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +175.0|Blue -175.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Felicia SpencerTargetNorma Dumont

By target zone

36% acc · 57%

Head

40% acc · 59%

52% acc · 30%

Body

70% acc · 21%

55% acc · 13%

Leg

93% acc · 21%

By position

37% acc · 81%

Distance

48% acc · 87%

75% acc · 19%

Clinch

75% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Felicia Spencer rounds

even

Norma Dumont rounds

Round 1Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:15

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:33

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Felicia Spencer edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control2:10

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:21Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 114

Sig Strikes

68 / 135

43%

Sig Str %

48%

70 / 139

Total Strikes

88 / 155

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 3

—

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

2:58

Ctrl Time

1:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Norma Dumont	21 / 46	21 / 46	0 / 0
1	Felicia Spencer	11 / 37	14 / 40	0 / 0
2	Norma Dumont	35 / 60	41 / 66	0 / 0
2	Felicia Spencer	20 / 51	23 / 54	0 / 0
3	Norma Dumont	12 / 29	26 / 43	1 / 3
3	Felicia Spencer	16 / 26	33 / 45	0 / 0

Felicia Spencer

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6

Norma Dumont

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12