← All fights/Event page

Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Virna Jandiroba won · SUB

Elo1426

Elo1529

Felice HerrigvsVirna JandirobaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · Saturday, August 15, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Virna Jandiroba won

SUB

Style matchupFelice Herrig: Well-roundedvsVirna Jandiroba: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Virna Jandiroba wins(60.0%)

Actual result: Virna Jandiroba wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Virna Jandiroba at -315 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Felice Herrig enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Felice Herrig

Red Corner

Virna Jandiroba

Blue Corner

+240

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-315

(76%)

1426

Elo

1529

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'3"

165.1 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Felice HerrigL3 streak

oldest →

vs Justine Kish · Jun 17

vs Cortney Casey · Dec 17

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Apr 18

vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 18

SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 22

latest

Virna Jandiroba

oldest →

vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 24

SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 24

vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 25

vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 25

DECvs Tabatha Ricci · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Felice HerrigMetricVirna Jandiroba

3.84

Strikes / min

2.27

5.19

Strikes absorbed / min

2.86

48%

Strike defense

55%

1.08

TDs / 15 min

3.13

75%

Takedown defense

72%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.35evenly matched on net striking-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Felice HerrigVirna Jandiroba

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Felice Herrig(10 fights)Virna Jandiroba(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -102.4|Blue +102.4

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red -29.6|Blue +29.6

Layoff

Red +427.0|Blue -427.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Felice HerrigTargetVirna Jandiroba

By target zone

Head

80% acc · 100%

Body

100% acc · 100%

Leg

By position

100% acc · 100%

Distance

Clinch

Ground

80% acc · 100%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Felice Herrig rounds

even

Virna Jandiroba rounds

Round 1Virna Jandiroba edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:33Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 1

Sig Strikes

4 / 5

100%

Sig Str %

80%

3 / 3

Total Strikes

12 / 15

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Virna Jandiroba	4 / 5	12 / 15	1 / 1	2
1	Felice Herrig	1 / 1	3 / 3	0 / 0	0

Felice Herrig

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights10

Virna Jandiroba

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights13