Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Alice Ardelean has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Melissa Martinez (53.5%).
- Melissa Martinez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melissa MartinezL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Fatima Kline · Jul 25 Alice ArdeleanW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Shauna Bannon · Jul 24W
vs Rayanne dos Santos · May 25W
vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz · Nov 25W
SUBvs Polyana Viana · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melissa MartinezMetricAlice Ardelean
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.43Δ 3.58 — meaningful gap+2.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Melissa MartinezAlice Ardelean
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melissa Martinez(3 fights)Alice Ardelean(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +686.0|Blue -686.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Melissa MartinezTargetAlice Ardelean
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alice Ardelean edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Alice Ardelean edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
45Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 3Melissa Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
