Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Sabatini enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Chepe Mariscal enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat SabatiniW3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Lucas Almeida · Jun 23L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23W
SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 24W
vs Joanderson Brito · Apr 25W
DECvs William Gomis · May 26 Chepe MariscalW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jack Jenkins · Sep 23W
vs Morgan Charriere · Apr 24W
vs Damon Jackson · Aug 24W
vs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat SabatiniMetricChepe Mariscal
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.53evenly matched on net striking+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Pat SabatiniChepe Mariscal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Sabatini(10 fights)Chepe Mariscal(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +19.3|Blue -19.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Pat SabatiniTargetChepe Mariscal
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Pat Sabatini edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control2:39
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
Round 2Pat Sabatini edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns4
Control3:36
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 3Pat Sabatini edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns1
Control4:22
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
