Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Makwan Amirkhani threatens submissions; Mike Wilkinson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Makwan Amirkhani has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Wilkinson has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Makwan Amirkhani (53.5%).
- Makwan Amirkhani has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Wilkinson
oldest →W
vs Brendan Loughnane · Dec 12L
SUBvs Rony Jason · Jun 13W
KOvs Niklas Backstrom · Oct 14 Makwan AmirkhaniL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jun 21L
KOvs Lerone Murphy · Oct 21W
SUBvs Mike Grundy · Mar 22L
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Jul 22L
SUBvs Jack Shore · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike WilkinsonMetricMakwan Amirkhani
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.35evenly matched on net striking-1.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike WilkinsonMakwan Amirkhani
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Wilkinson(4 fights)Makwan Amirkhani(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +37.0|Blue -37.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +259.0|Blue -259.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike WilkinsonTargetMakwan Amirkhani
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Makwan Amirkhani edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:19Control
Round 2Makwan Amirkhani edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:14
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:39Control
Round 3Makwan Amirkhani edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control2:22
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
