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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Hyun Gyu Lim won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1362
Elo1354

Hyun Gyu LimvsTakenori SatoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · Saturday, September 20, 2014Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Hyun Gyu Lim won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:18

Model Prediction: Hyun Gyu Lim wins(67.8%)

Actual result: Hyun Gyu Lim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hyun Gyu Lim at -660 American odds

+$15 profit

$115 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Hyun Gyu Lim enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Hyun Gyu Lim is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Takenori Sato has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Hyun Gyu Lim has 42pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Hyun Gyu Lim has 73pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Takenori Sato (53.5%).
  • Hyun Gyu Lim has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Hyun Gyu Lim
Red Corner
VS
Takenori Sato
Blue Corner
-660
(87%)
Vegas Odds
+540
(16%)
1362
Elo
1354
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
5'10"
195.58 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hyun Gyu LimL4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Pascal Krauss · Aug 13
L
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Jan 14
L
KOvs Neil Magny · May 15
L
KOvs Mike Perry · Aug 16
L
vs Daichi Abe · Sep 17
latest
Takenori Sato
oldest →
L
KOvs Erick Silva · Feb 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hyun Gyu LimMetricTakenori Sato
4.45
Strikes / min
0.46
5.07
Strikes absorbed / min
12.92
51%
Strike defense
9%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
0.00
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.62Δ 11.84 — meaningful gap-12.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1482Strikes70.0 vs 0.0Takedowns0.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.33 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs -1.0
Hyun Gyu LimTakenori Sato

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Hyun Gyu Lim(7 fights)Takenori Sato(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +8.2|Blue -8.2
Recent Form
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hyun Gyu LimTargetTakenori Sato

By target zone

10
77% acc · 100%
Head
0
0
Body
0
0% acc
0
Leg
1
50% acc · 100%

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
1
33% acc · 100%
3
100% acc · 30%
Clinch
0
7
100% acc · 70%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Hyun Gyu Lim rounds
0
even
0
Takenori Sato rounds
Round 1Hyun Gyu Lim edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
10 / 13
Sig Strikes
1 / 3
76%
Sig Str %
33%
15 / 18
Total Strikes
2 / 4
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 2
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:12
Ctrl Time
0:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Takenori Sato1 / 32 / 40 / 20
1Hyun Gyu Lim10 / 1315 / 180 / 00

Hyun Gyu Lim

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7

Takenori Sato

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach
Fights2