Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vitor Belfort is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Chris Weidman has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Chris Weidman has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Vitor Belfort (53.5%).
- Chris Weidman has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Weidman
oldest →W
DECvs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24 Vitor Belfort
oldest →W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris WeidmanMetricVitor Belfort
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.26evenly matched on net striking-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris WeidmanVitor Belfort
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Weidman(10 fights)Vitor Belfort(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.4|Blue -3.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -238.0|Blue +238.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris WeidmanTargetVitor Belfort
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chris Weidman edged it
Sig. strikes46
Takedowns1
Control1:13
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
