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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Chad Anheliger won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1493

Elo1418

Chad AnheligervsJesse StraderUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Saturday, February 19, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chad Anheliger won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:33

Model Prediction: Jesse Strader wins(62.6%)

Actual result: Chad Anheliger wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jesse Strader at +195 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chad Anheliger is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jesse Strader has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Jesse Strader has 62pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jesse Strader has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chad Anheliger

Red Corner

Jesse Strader

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1493

Elo

1418

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

162.56 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chad Anheliger

oldest →

vs Alatengheili · Sep 22

SUBvs Jose Johnson · Nov 23

vs Charalampos Grigoriou · Mar 24

vs Cody Gibson · Nov 24

latest

Jesse Strader

oldest →

KOvs Montel Jackson · Mar 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chad AnheligerMetricJesse Strader

3.11

Strikes / min

5.03

2.76

Strikes absorbed / min

5.28

53%

Strike defense

47%

0.68

TDs / 15 min

3.87

38%

Takedown defense

100%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.35evenly matched on net striking-0.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chad AnheligerJesse Strader

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chad Anheliger(5 fights)Jesse Strader(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +75.1|Blue -75.1

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.4|Blue -49.4

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chad AnheligerTargetJesse Strader

By target zone

48% acc · 79%

Head

27% acc · 27%

54% acc · 10%

Body

67% acc · 41%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

91% acc · 33%

By position

44% acc · 60%

Distance

46% acc · 80%

59% acc · 19%

Clinch

93% acc · 20%

78% acc · 21%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chad Anheliger rounds

even

Jesse Strader rounds

Round 1Jesse Strader edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:04

26Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:15Control

Round 2Chad Anheliger edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control1:07

Knockdowns1

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Chad Anheliger edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:09

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:02Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

67 / 130

Sig Strikes

64 / 126

50.7%

Sig Str %

46.7%

92 / 156

Total Strikes

73 / 135

0 / 1

TDs

4 / 7

TD %

44.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:20

Ctrl Time

3:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jesse Strader	26 / 50	32 / 56	3 / 3	0
1	Chad Anheliger	14 / 34	15 / 35	0 / 0	2
2	Jesse Strader	31 / 51	34 / 54	0 / 1	0
2	Chad Anheliger	26 / 53	46 / 73	0 / 1	0
3	Jesse Strader	7 / 25	7 / 25	1 / 3	0
3	Chad Anheliger	27 / 43	31 / 48	0 / 0	0

Chad Anheliger

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights5

Jesse Strader

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights2