Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Maiquel Falcao has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Harris (53.5%).
- Gerald Harris has a 21cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gerald HarrisW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mario Miranda · Mar 10W
KOvs David Branch · Jul 10 Maiquel FalcaoNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gerald HarrisMetricMaiquel Falcao
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.17Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+1.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gerald HarrisMaiquel Falcao
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gerald Harris(3 fights)Maiquel Falcao(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.7|Blue +48.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gerald HarrisTargetMaiquel Falcao
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Maiquel Falcao edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control0:04
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:17Control
Round 2Maiquel Falcao edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:50
Knockdowns0
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:46Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:04
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
