Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Daukaus has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Daukaus (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle Daukaus
oldest →L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Jun 22L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 22W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Aug 25W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 25 Dustin StoltzfusL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 23L
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jun 24W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Nov 24L
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 25L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyle DaukausMetricDustin Stoltzfus
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.42evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kyle DaukausDustin Stoltzfus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Daukaus(9 fights)Dustin Stoltzfus(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +16.2|Blue -16.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kyle DaukausTargetDustin Stoltzfus
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kyle Daukaus edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control3:26
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 2Kyle Daukaus edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control2:23
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 3Kyle Daukaus edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns1
Control2:51
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
