Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Miles Johns has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Castaneda (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miles JohnsL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jun 24L
vs Jean Matsumoto · Aug 25L
SUBvs Daniel Marcos · Nov 25 John Castaneda
oldest →W
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 23W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 23L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jun 24L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 25D
DECvs Mark Vologdin · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miles JohnsMetricJohn Castaneda
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.37evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Miles JohnsJohn Castaneda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miles Johns(10 fights)John Castaneda(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -15.5|Blue +15.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -168.0|Blue +168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Miles JohnsTargetJohn Castaneda
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Castaneda edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2John Castaneda edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:12Control
Round 3John Castaneda edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
