Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fabricio Camoes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kurt Pellegrino threatens submissions; Fabricio Camoes has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Kurt Pellegrino has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kurt PellegrinoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs George Sotiropoulos · Jul 10L
vs Gleison Tibau · Mar 11 Fabricio CamoesL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Tommy Hayden · Jan 12L
vs Melvin Guillard · Jul 12L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Dec 13L
SUBvs Anthony Rocco Martin · Oct 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kurt PellegrinoMetricFabricio Camoes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.51Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kurt PellegrinoFabricio Camoes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kurt Pellegrino(3 fights)Fabricio Camoes(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.8|Blue +2.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kurt PellegrinoTargetFabricio Camoes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kurt Pellegrino edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control3:03
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:40Control
Round 2Kurt Pellegrino edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control3:45
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
