Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thales Leites has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ed Herman has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ed HermanL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 19W
vs Khadis Ibragimov · Nov 19W
SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 20L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 21L
KOvs Zak Cummings · Apr 23 Thales Leites
oldest →L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Nov 16L
vs Brad Tavares · Oct 17L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · May 18W
vs Hector Lombard · Sep 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ed HermanMetricThales Leites
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.40evenly matched on net striking-0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ed HermanThales Leites
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ed Herman(10 fights)Thales Leites(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -33.4|Blue +33.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ed HermanTargetThales Leites
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Thales Leites edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:33Control
Round 2Thales Leites edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:36
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:57Control
Round 3Thales Leites edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:39
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:56Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
