Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Irene Aldana has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leslie Smith
oldest →W
KOvs Jessamyn Duke · Jul 14L
KOvs Jessica Eye · Nov 14L
KOvs Cris Cyborg · May 16W
KOvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 17 latest Irene Aldana
oldest →W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21W
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leslie SmithMetricIrene Aldana
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.85evenly matched on net striking-1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Leslie SmithIrene Aldana
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leslie Smith(7 fights)Irene Aldana(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -8.2|Blue +8.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.0|Blue +47.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Leslie SmithTargetIrene Aldana
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Leslie Smith edged it
Sig. strikes67
Takedowns0
Control0:13
Knockdowns1
37Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Leslie Smith edged it
Sig. strikes52
Takedowns0
Control0:04
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Leslie Smith edged it
Sig. strikes50
Takedowns0
Control0:01
38Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.