Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pascal Krauss has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Pascal Krauss has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Stumpf
oldest →L
SUBvs TJ Waldburger · Sep 11 Pascal KraussL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Mark Scanlon · Nov 10L
vs John Hathaway · May 12L
KOvs Hyun Gyu Lim · Aug 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike StumpfMetricPascal Krauss
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-5.51Δ 7.08 — meaningful gap+1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike StumpfPascal Krauss
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Stumpf(2 fights)Pascal Krauss(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.4|Blue +138.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +231.0|Blue -231.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike StumpfTargetPascal Krauss
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Pascal Krauss edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control1:08
46Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 2Pascal Krauss edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control1:09
58Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:49Control
Round 3Pascal Krauss edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:12
59Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
