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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Farid Basharat won · SUB R1
Elo1576
Farid Basharat editorial illustration
Elo1492

Farid BasharatvsKleydson RodriguesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Saturday, September 2, 2023Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Farid Basharat won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:15

Model Prediction: Farid Basharat wins(83.5%)

Actual result: Farid Basharat wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Farid Basharat at -380 American odds

+$26 profit

$126 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Farid Basharat enters on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Farid Basharat has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Farid Basharat
Red Corner
VS
Kleydson Rodrigues
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
1576
Elo
1492
28
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'5"
180.34 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Farid BasharatW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Taylor Lapilus · Jan 24
W
vs Victor Hugo · Oct 24
W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Oct 25
W
vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 26
W
DECvs John Garza · Jul 26
latest
Kleydson Rodrigues
oldest →
L
vs CJ Vergara · May 22
W
KOvs Shannon Ross · Feb 23
L
vs Alatengheili · May 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Farid BasharatMetricKleydson Rodrigues
4.25
Strikes / min
4.58
2.89
Strikes absorbed / min
2.29
62%
Strike defense
53%
3.34
TDs / 15 min
0.60
54%
Takedown defense
53%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.36evenly matched on net striking+2.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1500Strikes4.5 vs 4.6Takedowns4.0 vs 0.6Sub Atts0.60 vs 0.60Form1.0 vs 0.4
Farid BasharatKleydson Rodrigues

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801508153515631590← oldermost recent →
Farid Basharat(7 fights)Kleydson Rodrigues(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +84.1|Blue -84.1
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Farid BasharatTargetKleydson Rodrigues

By target zone

2
67% acc · 50%
Head
3
75% acc · 43%
2
100% acc · 50%
Body
2
100% acc · 29%
0
0% acc
Leg
2
100% acc · 29%

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
4
80% acc · 57%
1
100% acc · 25%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 14%
3
75% acc · 75%
Ground
2
100% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Farid Basharat rounds
0
even
0
Kleydson Rodrigues rounds
Round 1Farid Basharat edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control3:15
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
4 / 6
Sig Strikes
7 / 8
66%
Sig Str %
87%
25 / 36
Total Strikes
25 / 26
2 / 5
TDs
0 / 0
40%
TD %
—
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
3:15
Ctrl Time
0:30

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Kleydson Rodrigues7 / 825 / 260 / 00
1Farid Basharat4 / 625 / 362 / 51

Farid Basharat

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9

Kleydson Rodrigues

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4