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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Farid Basharat won · Decision R3

Elo1576

Elo1473

Farid BasharatvsJohn GarzaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Saturday, July 11, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Farid Basharat won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Farid Basharat wins(75.1%)

Actual result: Farid Basharat wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Farid Basharat at -653 American odds

+$15 profit

$115 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Farid Basharat enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Farid Basharat

Red Corner

John Garza

Blue Corner

-653

(87%)

Vegas Odds

+476

(17%)

1576

Elo

1473

Age

N/A

Orthodox

Stance

N/A

5'8"

Height

N/A

180.34 cm

Reach

N/A

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Farid BasharatW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Kleydson Rodrigues · Sep 23

vs Taylor Lapilus · Jan 24

vs Victor Hugo · Oct 24

vs Chris Gutierrez · Oct 25

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 26

latest

John GarzaNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Farid BasharatMetricJohn Garza

4.25

Strikes / min

—

2.89

Strikes absorbed / min

—

62%

Strike defense

—

3.34

TDs / 15 min

—

54%

Takedown defense

—

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Farid Basharat(7 fights)John Garza(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +103.1|Blue -103.1

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Farid BasharatTargetJohn Garza

By target zone

60% acc · 76%

Head

36% acc · 67%

67% acc · 7%

Body

82% acc · 33%

94% acc · 17%

Leg

0% acc

By position

64% acc · 79%

Distance

40% acc · 80%

71% acc · 6%

Clinch

76% acc · 20%

65% acc · 15%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Farid Basharat rounds

even

John Garza rounds

Round 1Farid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns2

Control1:36

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns2

Control1:06

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 3Farid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns1

Control1:20

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

86 / 134

Sig Strikes

82 / 187

65%

Sig Str %

42.3%

95 / 145

Total Strikes

92 / 197

5 / 22

TDs

0 / 0

27.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:02

Ctrl Time

0:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	John Garza	15 / 47	20 / 52	0 / 0
1	Farid Basharat	23 / 35	24 / 36	2 / 4
2	John Garza	33 / 76	37 / 80	0 / 0
2	Farid Basharat	26 / 36	28 / 38	2 / 10
3	John Garza	34 / 64	35 / 65	0 / 0
3	Farid Basharat	37 / 63	43 / 71	1 / 8

Farid Basharat

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

John Garza

Stance—

Height—

Reach—

Fights1