Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Themba Gorimbo has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jeremiah Wells (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeremiah WellsL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Blood Diamond · Feb 22W
KOvs Court McGee · Jun 22W
vs Matthew Semelsberger · Apr 23L
SUBvs Carlston Harris · Aug 23 Themba GorimboL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Pete Rodriguez · Feb 24W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · May 24L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Dec 24L
DECvs Jonathan Micallef · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeremiah WellsMetricThemba Gorimbo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.07evenly matched on net striking+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jeremiah WellsThemba Gorimbo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeremiah Wells(7 fights)Themba Gorimbo(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +22.9|Blue -22.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +301.0|Blue -301.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jeremiah WellsTargetThemba Gorimbo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Themba Gorimbo edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns1
Control0:57
4Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
3:36Control
Round 2Jeremiah Wells edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control2:15
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:52Control
Round 3Jeremiah Wells edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control2:53
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
