Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lorenz Larkin enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lorenz LarkinW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Derek Brunson · Aug 14W
KOvs John Howard · Jan 15W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 15W
vs Jorge Masvidal · May 16W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 16 Albert TumenovL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Matt Dwyer · Oct 14W
DECvs Nico Musoke · Jan 15W
KOvs Alan Jouban · Oct 15L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · May 16L
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Oct 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lorenz LarkinMetricAlbert Tumenov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.79evenly matched on net striking+0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lorenz LarkinAlbert Tumenov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lorenz Larkin(10 fights)Albert Tumenov(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +132.4|Blue -132.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lorenz LarkinTargetAlbert Tumenov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Albert Tumenov edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 3Lorenz Larkin edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:14
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
