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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Fabio Maldonado won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1356

Elo1355

Fabio MaldonadovsHans StringerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · Saturday, October 25, 2014Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Fabio Maldonado won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:06

Style matchupFabio Maldonado: Pressure fightervsHans Stringer: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Fabio Maldonado wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Fabio Maldonado wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Fabio Maldonado at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Fabio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Fabio Maldonado has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Fabio Maldonado

Red Corner

Hans Stringer

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1356

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Fabio MaldonadoL3 streak

oldest →

vs Joey Beltran · Oct 13

vs Gian Villante · Mar 14

KOvs Stipe Miocic · May 14

DECvs Rampage Jackson · Apr 15

vs Corey Anderson · Nov 15

latest

Hans Stringer

oldest →

vs Francimar Barroso · Mar 14

KOvs Ilir Latifi · Jul 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Fabio MaldonadoMetricHans Stringer

5.29

Strikes / min

3.16

4.31

Strikes absorbed / min

2.84

53%

Strike defense

41%

0.44

TDs / 15 min

2.40

61%

Takedown defense

62%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.98evenly matched on net striking+0.32

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Fabio MaldonadoHans Stringer

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Fabio Maldonado(10 fights)Hans Stringer(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +4.5|Blue -4.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -69.0|Blue +69.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Fabio MaldonadoTargetHans Stringer

By target zone

54% acc · 71%

Head

58% acc · 55%

89% acc · 29%

Body

100% acc · 21%

Leg

100% acc · 24%

By position

29% acc · 18%

Distance

75% acc · 36%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

79% acc · 79%

Ground

67% acc · 55%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Fabio Maldonado rounds

even

Hans Stringer rounds

Round 1Hans Stringer edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:47Control

Round 2Fabio Maldonado edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control1:42

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:12Control

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 46

Sig Strikes

33 / 46

47.5%

Sig Str %

72%

74 / 107

Total Strikes

78 / 95

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 3

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:42

Ctrl Time

5:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Hans Stringer	18 / 26	53 / 63	2 / 2
1	Fabio Maldonado	1 / 3	7 / 11	0 / 0
2	Hans Stringer	15 / 20	25 / 32	1 / 1
2	Fabio Maldonado	27 / 43	67 / 96	0 / 0

Fabio Maldonado

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11

Hans Stringer

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach—

Fights3