Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lone'er Kavanagh has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Lone'er Kavanagh has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lone'er Kavanagh
oldest →L
KOvs Charles Johnson · Aug 25W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 26L
SUBvs Brandon Royval · Jul 26 Felipe dos Santos
oldest →W
vs Victor Altamirano · Feb 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lone'er KavanaghMetricFelipe dos Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.64evenly matched on net striking-0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lone'er KavanaghFelipe dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lone'er Kavanagh(5 fights)Felipe dos Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +15.0|Blue -15.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lone'er KavanaghTargetFelipe dos Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Felipe dos Santos rounds
Round 1Felipe dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:39
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 2Lone'er Kavanagh edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns2
Control3:36
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 3Lone'er Kavanagh edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns2
Control2:18
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
