Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Carlston Harris threatens submissions; Jeremiah Wells has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jeremiah Wells (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeremiah Wells
oldest →W
SUBvs Blood Diamond · Feb 22W
KOvs Court McGee · Jun 22W
vs Matthew Semelsberger · Apr 23W
vs Themba Gorimbo · Nov 25 Carlston HarrisL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Feb 22W
vs Jared Gooden · Mar 23L
KOvs Khaos Williams · May 24L
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 25L
DECvs Jake Matthews · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeremiah WellsMetricCarlston Harris
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.07evenly matched on net striking+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jeremiah WellsCarlston Harris
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeremiah Wells(7 fights)Carlston Harris(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +35.8|Blue -35.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jeremiah WellsTargetCarlston Harris
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jeremiah Wells edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns2
Control4:24
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jeremiah Wells edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control4:34
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:28
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
