Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessio Sakara enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alessio Sakara is a KO finisher (100% of wins). James Irvin has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Alessio Sakara has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alessio Sakara has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alessio SakaraL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Chris Weidman · Mar 11L
KOvs Brian Stann · Apr 12L
vs Patrick Cote · Nov 12L
SUBvs Nico Musoke · Oct 13 James Irvin
oldest →L
SUBvs Igor Pokrajac · Aug 10 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alessio SakaraMetricJames Irvin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.16Δ 2.99 — meaningful gap-1.83
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alessio SakaraJames Irvin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alessio Sakara(5 fights)James Irvin(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alessio SakaraTargetJames Irvin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alessio Sakara edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
